Global Population Growth Rate
Hans Rosling (2010) describes demography by using statistical methods to study the world population statistics about human birth rates, deaths, income capability of groups and nations, the disease occurrences in a given population and the effects of such data to the human population. He developed a Gap-minder tool which he used to visualize the world’s social statistical data which are a collection of various national statistical agencies. From the video, Hans is quoted saying that the world’s population will grow to nine billion over the next fifty years starting the year 2010. Additionally, his argument was that since 1960 up to 2010, what has occurred in the world is that, astounding four billion individuals have been added to the global populace.
The most place the population has increased in the world as Hans explained is in the developing countries which he says has a population of two billion people since 1960. He claims that those industrialized nations live a healthy life, wealthy, educated and have small families who are a direct opposite of the undeveloped countries. What is trending in the world is that the two billion over the developing countries are still struggling for food and shoes, that is, they are still almost poor just like they were fifty years ago (Rosling, 2010). Additionally, the world now has the largest pile of billions of which three billion has become emerging economies since they continue to become more healthy, well-educated and that they only possess two to three children for every woman to form the vibrant population of the world. Regarding the Chinese community, Rosling projections point to one billion people in China by 2010 will increase to two and subsequently three percent respectively but the second billion will grow from 7 percent up to 8 percent by the year 2050.
He expects growth to be the highest among the emerging nations who are already at two billion but as he explains, nothing even a nuclear warfare cab stop them from growing since their growth rate is in motion already. He projects their population increase to reach three billion marks in coming decades. The only thing that can be done to cab that growth rate is by raising the living standards of the poor. If the poor become able to get an education and improved child survival, then their population can stop by 2050. From his computer analysis, Hans is comparing the statistics of improved child survival to match that of chances of improved living standards as a result of good education, improved healthcare, family planning sensitization among others which have worked well in some parts of the world like in Asia and the Middle East. If the developed countries support the poor, then their life can change to acquire manageable families which in turn reduces the world’s population growth rate by increasing the child survival to ninety percent. That can work well if the world organizations such as the UNICEF, Gates Foundation, and the poorest countries joins hands to support the sustainable growth rates within their nations (Rosling, 2010).